[NetEase Smart News, August 28th] Artificial intelligence is now proving its prowess in fields traditionally dominated by humans, ranging from food services to intricate games.
Experts suggest that this technology will soon make its mark in the film industry. Professionals currently working on AI development predict that by 2045, Hollywood will no longer require human involvement in movie production. They believe that AI could handle editing films, filling in gaps between scenes, and even creating believable human action roles.
Adopting AI-driven filmmaking could save both time and money, potentially cutting tens of millions of dollars from a movie’s budget. Stephen Regalos, who won an Oscar for his technological contributions, mentioned in an interview with a Hollywood publication that this technique could be used to generate more precise digital human likenesses based on large datasets. The Hollywood Reporter noted that when producers created a digital version of the late actor Paul Walker for "Furious 7" in 2014, theoretically, if AI were used to recreate all his previous performances, it would capture even the minutest details of his characters with greater accuracy.
AI researchers are already demonstrating how they can encapsulate the essence of characters in virtual personas. For instance, the Digital Human Alliance recently unveiled "Digital Mike," an AI representation of producer Mike Seymour.
In a promotional video, Digital Mike explained that the goal was "to create a virtual person, not just any virtual person, but one that renders in real-time—someone who can be truly interacted with and rendered dynamically." Moreover, this virtual individual can operate seamlessly in stereo and VR environments at 90 frames per second.
Although the animation process might be labor-intensive for humans, experts argue that AI could soon take over these tasks. Additionally, it could contribute to creating more convincing roles. Chris Canchols, a director at Chaos Group Labs and a member of the Digital Human Alliance, remarked to the Hollywood Reporter that digital humans are becoming increasingly significant in the film industry.
According to a recent study by researchers from the Institute for the Future of Humanity at Oxford University and Yale University, who surveyed 352 machine learning experts, artificial intelligence is expected to outperform humans across all tasks within 45 years.
These experts were questioned about the progression of specific skills and professions over time, predicting when AI would surpass humans in every task and what societal impacts this transition might bring.
Researchers anticipate that by 2024, machines will excel in translation compared to humans. They expect AI to write high school essays by 2026, drive trucks by 2027, work in retail by 2031, and pen a bestseller by 2049. By 2053, they predict AI will perform surgery.
The researchers stated that there's a 50% chance AI will outperform humanity in all tasks within 45 years. Furthermore, they claim that machines could take over all human jobs within 120 years. Some speculate this shift could occur sooner.
While some warn of potential negative societal impacts, researchers estimate that catastrophic outcomes like human extinction due to AI account for only 5%. Experts emphasize that the success of AI heavily relies on data volume. "If your dataset is too small, it simply won’t work," they said. The larger the data pool, the better the system performs.
Research findings from Oxford University and Yale University were published this spring. They concluded that within 50 years, AI will outpace humans in tasks like language translation, truck driving, and writing high school essays. Their influence in Hollywood seems to align with this timeline.
Regalos told the Hollywood Reporter that within a few decades, computers will dominate. He predicted that by 2045, the curtain would fall on human involvement in the entertainment industry. (Selected from: DailyMail and quasi-criticism.)
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Three Phase VFD
A single-phase VFD, also known as a variable frequency drive, is a specialized electronic device used for precise control and regulation of single-phase motors. Unlike three-phase motors that are commonly used in industrial applications, single-phase motors are predominantly found in residential and small-scale applications.
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