China's smart grid "ten regrets"

China's smart grid "ten regrets" 300 billion yuan exchange UHV "cake" or face "shrink"

In 2010, State Grid proposed to establish the planning goals for “two vertical and two horizontal” UHV backbone grids in 2012, namely Huainan (Weinan)-Shanghai, Ximeng-Nanjing, Shanbei-Changsha, and Huainan (Nanjing)-Shanghai specialties. High-voltage AC projects, but these predetermined goals have not been reached. In spite of this, the exchange of UHV has still achieved some development. At present, apart from the commencement of construction of the Suidong-East Power Project, the Ximeng-Nanjing project has also obtained the “road” of the National Energy Administration.

In February of this year, in order to make preliminary communication work before the approval of the project, the State Grid held a work coordination meeting for the UMC-Nanjing, Mengxi-Changsha, Jingmen-Wuhan-Nanchang UHV AC project in Beijing, along the project. Leaders from Shandong, Jiangsu, Shanxi, Henan, Jiangxi, Hubei and Hunan attended the meeting. According to sources from the State Grid, Ximeng-Nanjing, Jingmen-Wuhan-Nanchang lines are expected to begin construction during the year.

But now it seems that whether or not it can start is still an open question. Due to economic, security, and necessity issues, some power experts have expressed their resolute disagreement on the exchange of UHV, making its future development less smooth than DC UHV, and the entire outlook has become somewhat confusing. Some experts questioned the "success" of the southeastern Shanxi-Jingmen project. Other experts believe that the "Sanhua Synchronous Power Grid" connected through UHV AC grids will be very unsafe and uneconomical. According to industry insiders, compared with smart grids, the government has appeared to be a bit "humiliated" in the development of exchanges of UHV. In the government work report of the past two years, the smart grid has been repeatedly mentioned, but it is also regarded as a huge investment. The high pressure has not been mentioned. It can be seen that high-level officials are cautious about developing the U.S. high pressure.

State Grid Power Plant Replacement "Brand Blossoming" Strategic Reluctant Contraction

Once "imminent"

"This year's market is deserted. Compared with the fiery market in previous years, the industry is very difficult to adapt." The above-mentioned person in charge of Autotron was not without emotion to the reporter said, "We used to travel several times a month to participate in the National Grid's move Tender, only two or three miles away this year. Compared to last year, the current situation is really a world away!"

We learned from public information that, since the introduction of the “Ten Thousands of Energy Conservation and New Energy Vehicles Model Promotion and Application Project” policy in early 2009, many vehicles, batteries, motors, and rare earth companies have been added to this field. Among them, the State Grid used the advantages of the original network to set off a wave of charging and replacing power stations in the country, and took the lead in the South China Power Grid, CNOOC, PetroChina, Sinopec and other enterprises.

According to Liu Zhenya, the general manager of the State Grid Corporation, in the work conference at the beginning of 2011, the State Grid successfully completed the targets set for the beginning of 2010. The project covered 26 cities across the country, including 87 standard charging and switching stations, 5,179 chargers, and charging posts 7031. root. That year, it made China the country with the largest number of electric vehicle charging devices in the world.

State Grid "change mode" cold reduction charge and exchange facilities construction

It is understood that many manufacturers of equipment are very anxious lately. Originally, according to the plan of the State Grid, the number of large-scale construction plants will be used to produce auxiliary equipment. Now that orders are gone, everyone is in a dilemma. An equipment manufacturer who has done charge swap facilities disclosed to reporters: “This year, the State Grid has suddenly cut down the construction plan for charging and replacing power facilities. It was originally planned to build 196 charging and replacing stations across the country. Now, actual construction may be less than half.”

The above-mentioned equipment supplier revealed to reporters that the State Grid suddenly suspended high-profile charging and replacing of power stations, which is related to the “Energy-saving and New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan (2012-2020)” reviewed and passed by the State Council.

Tianwei change: "stealing chicken will not be etched into rice?"

Although it sounds a bit indecent, it is quite appropriate to describe Tianwei change over the past few years. In 2011, this company successively developed several transformer products with international advanced level and ranked first in the history of transformer development in China, and succeeded in becoming the largest transformer factory in the world, with the most complete core technology in the transformer industry. Leading companies in the industry did not earn a penny! (Figure 1). If it weren’t for the government’s policy subsidies of more than 200 million yuan and the annual report of the company was finally not so ugly, this former industry star company might not have been as simple as hanging his face—from the peak to the bottom. In total, it will take only three or four years.

In general, a leading company in the industry has suddenly suffered enormous operational difficulties in a short period of time. In most cases, the overall industry environment has caused problems. As described in the Tianwei Baobian annual report, the company’s two main business transformers and new energy markets have experienced severe competition and insufficient orders, resulting in a huge drop in operating income – however, such a decline in the market is not just temporary. What is more, it is only a representation—in this case, what the author intends to talk about is that Tianwei Security may be falling into the “BYD” decline.

The Mengxi Power Grid has 70 billion yuan in power and it is difficult to send out a monopoly on the State Grid. When more than ten provinces in China are busy with power shortages, the total installed capacity and delivered power are located in Inner Mongolia, which is the highest in the country. Every year, there are Nearly 70 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity are in the area and cannot be delivered because the Inner Mongolia-based power grid, which generates the bulk of its power, can only send surplus power to the national grid. The construction of the outbound channels and the amount of electricity sent out have all been determined by the highly monopolized State Grid Corporation.

70 billion kWh in its hands

Since there are not enough grid channels to send electricity out of the Autonomous Region, about one-third of the thermal power units in the Mengxi Power Grid are now forced to shut down and more than 42% of the wind turbines have been abandoned. The amount of power generation that Inner Mongolia abandons every year can supply about 82% of Beijing's annual electricity consumption.

Rebuilding the Department of Energy's Voices to Recapitulate the Core Issues Now Disagreements For the establishment of the Ministry of Energy, the China Energy Research Association has made several recommendations in its report. It will adopt the mode of combining political and judicial supervision and set up the Energy Supervision Bureau under the Ministry of Energy. The specific division of functions is to integrate the energy policy functions of the National Development and Reform Commission, the Energy Bureau, the Ministry of Water Resources, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Science and Technology, and the Ministry of Commerce into the Ministry of Energy; the State Electricity Regulatory Commission, the Energy Administration, the Ministry of Commerce, and the Ministry of Water Resources Some regulatory functions are incorporated into the Energy Regulatory Authority.

On the other hand, the report proposes to use the National Energy Commission as an organization for coordinating policies on energy policy and diplomacy, science and technology, and the environment. Its offices are retained in the NDRC; and the management of prices and investment approval rights continues to be retained in the NDRC, in accordance with the marketization reform process and supervision. The process of institution building gradually reformed the administrative examination and approval system.

In response, Lin Weibin, executive deputy director of the Energy Policy Research Center of the China Energy Research Institute, explained that the current energy market already has a pattern of “separation of government and enterprise, multi-subjects, and state-owned enterprises”. The Ministry of Energy established will have a clear functional orientation. The Department of Energy can still play a significant role without pricing and investment approval.

More than 600 billion triple play progress is behind the plan. Mutual license is accused of little significance. On July 1, 2010, the State Council announced the list of the first batch of triple play pilot cities, and announced that China’s triple play has officially begun to enter a substantive stage of development. According to the provisions of the State Council's three-network integration plan, China's triple play is divided into two phases: 2010 to 2012 is the triple play pilot phase, and 2013 to 2015 is the triple play integration phase.

The triple play as an important project for promoting the strategic development during the 12th Five-Year Plan period has important strategic significance for the prosperity of the cultural industry, the improvement of the national informatization level, and the promotion of industrialization and information integration. The triple play, which is about to enter the national promotion period, will play an important role in the pulling of China’s economy. Some agencies predict that the market size of China's triple-play-related industries will reach more than RMB 600 billion in the next three years.

The "Lack of Regret" Behind the Separation of Main Grid and Auxiliary Grid: The Reorganization of China Power Construction

From the auxiliary business of the power grid to the main business in the construction field, the two major construction groups completed a magnificent turn a year ago. However, it is not easy after the reorganization. Many companies that have been "packaged" are still carrying out difficult integration.

According to Zhang Guobao, before this time, the State Grid Corporation had also sought him out several times, hoping to strip off these subsidiary assets as soon as possible, and the benefits of these construction companies were uneven. According to statistics, the power grid supplemented by the owner's business involves thermal power, hydropower construction, power grid construction, transportation inspection and maintenance, and mechanical equipment. In the past, the domestic power construction industry was low in concentration, and the competition was fierce. The economic efficiency has been at a relatively low level.

With many employees, heavy burdens and high asset-liability ratios, this is a realistic issue that cannot be avoided in the process of central SOE restructuring. The two power grid companies also faced such problems as the China Power Construction Co., Ltd., which was reorganized by the subsidiary companies of 14 companies in Hebei Province, Jilin Province, Shanghai Municipality, and Fujian Province, and China's hydropower and hydropower consultants.

BYD's new energy strategic design mistakes misjudged the industry's development prospects, chose uncontrollable development paths, and adhered to the imitation strategy... BYD wants to build a dream, but the dilemma has been doomed from the very beginning.

The reduction in layoffs, the rumors that the battery was “spontaneous” abandoned, the limited-sales stocks being cashed in by executives amounting to RMB 400 million, and the share price of A-shares H shares hitting new lows. BYD’s deeper and deeper recession.

For more than ten years, BYD has been smooth sailing from "battery king" to "car madman" to "new energy dream". Since the launch of the dual-mode electric car F3DM at the end of 2008, BYD has begun to intervene in the field of new energy and has proposed three major green dreams: the dream of a solar power station, the dream of a power storage station, and the dream of an electric vehicle: it has also become a model for innovation and capital. The darling of the market, its stock was favored and held by Warren Buffett.

8 cents is not enough renewable energy price subsidies are still worse than 20 billion

At the end of 2011, the three ministries and commissions of the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Finance, and the National Energy Administration jointly issued the Interim Measures for the Administration of Collection and Use of Renewable Energy Development Funds (hereinafter referred to as the “Measures”). From January 1, 2012, renewable energy prices The additional levy is adjusted to 8 cents per kilowatt hour.

According to the Interim Measures for the Administration of Collection and Use of Renewable Energy Development Fund, starting from 2012, when electricity users pay their electricity bills, the bank will automatically transfer the collected electricity charges to two accounts. One is the income of the grid companies, and the other is for each kWh. 8 cents is allocated to the special renewable energy fund account managed by the Ministry of Finance. The "Special Fund for Renewable Energy" is an upgraded version of the "Special Fund for Renewable Energy," which was proposed in the "Renewable Energy Law" revised in 2009. The fund includes two major contents of renewable energy development special funds and additional income from renewable energy electricity prices levied by law on electricity users.

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