Barron's Weekly: "Internet of Things" is heading towards a dead end

On May 19th, the term "Internet of Things" has become one of the most discussed topics in the tech world. However, this label is often misused and misunderstood, causing confusion within the scientific community. The phrase suggests a network connecting physical objects, but in reality, many so-called "smart" devices—like Nest thermostats, Apple Watches, and Fitbits—do not truly form an interconnected system as the Internet does. Instead, they operate in isolated ecosystems, failing to meet the true definition of an open, universal network.

The Internet was built on the principle of connecting diverse computer networks to enable seamless communication. It was a revolutionary step that allowed global access and collaboration. In contrast, the current state of the "Internet of Things" resembles a fragmented landscape of devices that lack real interoperability. This lack of integration is leading the concept toward stagnation rather than progress.

Barron's Weekly: "Internet of Things" is heading towards a dead end

Interestingly, the name itself is somewhat ironic. The "Internet of Things" feels more like a pre-Internet era system, where devices operated in silos without a unified standard. Back in 1969, Leonard Kleinrock, a professor at UCLA, sent the first message over a packet-switched network, laying the foundation for what we now know as the Internet. His work paved the way for technologies like the World Wide Web, e-commerce, and smartphones.

Meanwhile, the "Internet of Things" hasn't brought the same level of innovation or openness. Devices like Fitbit and Apple Watch are more accessories than independent systems, and they don’t connect to the broader digital world. Instead, they keep users trapped within specific platforms, limiting their potential. This approach contrasts sharply with the original vision of the Internet, which was about breaking down barriers and enabling free communication.

Various companies have tried to create standards for IoT, such as Google’s Brillo, Apple’s HomeKit, and Qualcomm’s AllJoyn. While these initiatives were well-intentioned, they haven’t led to a unified ecosystem. Each platform remains isolated, making it difficult for consumers to enjoy seamless connectivity across different brands and devices.

A new wave of large-scale innovation is needed, similar to the one that started with Kleinrock’s work. But unlike then, today’s tech giants are building their own "walled gardens," each trying to control its own ecosystem. Without a public sector initiative or a common standard, the IoT space risks becoming even more fragmented and ineffective.

Apple, a major player in the tech world, serves as a cautionary example. Its stock price has fluctuated significantly, reflecting uncertainty about its future. After the passing of Steve Jobs, Apple’s shares dropped by over 40%, and despite efforts to launch new products and services, the company has struggled to regain investor confidence. Even with massive stock buybacks and dividend programs, Wall Street remains skeptical about Apple’s long-term growth.

Meanwhile, NVIDIA has taken a different path. Despite challenges in the smartphone market, CEO Jen-Hsun Huang remains confident in the company's long-term vision. With the rise of machine learning and AI, NVIDIA’s graphics chips are finding new applications, driving impressive revenue growth. Investors are watching closely, hoping that this momentum will continue and push the stock higher.

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